书目详细信息
： Making better decisions :
书目信息 机读格式(MARC)
| ISBN： | 9781444336511 (hardback) |
|---|---|
| ISBN： | 9781444336528 (pbk. : alk. paper) |
| 编目源： | DLC DLC YDX BTCTA YDXCP CDX BGU |
| 个人名称： | Gilboa, Itzhak. |
| 题名： | Making better decisions : decision theory in practice / Itzhak Gilboa. |
| 索书号： | C934/G464E |
| 出版发行项： | Chichester, West Sussex ; Malden, MA : Wiley-Blackwell, 2011. |
| 载体形态： | ix, 219 p. : ill. ; 24 cm. |
| 书目附注： | Includes bibliographical references and index. |
| 格式化内容附注： | Machine generated contents note: Chapter 1 Background. -- Suggested Reading. -- Chapter 2 Judgment and Choice Biases. -- Introduction. -- Problems - Group A. -- Problems - Group B. -- Framing Effects. -- Brainstorming and Formal Models. -- Endowment Effect. -- Sunk Costs. -- Decision Trees. -- Representativeness Heuristic. -- Availability Heuristic. -- Anchoring. -- Mental Accounting. -- Dynamic Inconsistency. -- Exercises. -- Chapter 3 Consuming Statistical Data. -- Introduction. -- Problems. -- Conditional Probabilities. -- Gambler's Fallacy. -- Biased Samples. -- Regression to the Mean. -- Correlation and Causation. -- Statistical Significance. -- Bayesian and Classical Statistics. -- Exercises. -- Chapter 4 Decisions under Risk. -- Introduction. -- Problems. -- The Independence Axiom. -- von-Neumann and Morgenstern's Result. -- Measurement of Utility. -- Risk Aversion. -- Prospect Theory. -- Exercises. -- Chapter 5 Decisions under Uncertainty. -- Introduction. -- Problems. -- Subjective Probability. -- Learning from the fact we know. -- Causality. -- The Sure Thing Principle. -- Alternative Models. -- Objective Probabilities. -- Exercises. -- Chapter 6 Well-Being and Happiness. -- Introduction. -- Problems - Group A. -- Problems - Group B. -- Well Being. -- Measurement Issues. -- What's Happiness? -- Exercises. -- Chapter 7 Appendix A: Optimal Choice. -- Chapter 8 Appendix B: Probability and Statistics. -- Solutions. |