书目详细信息
： Experts, social scientists, and techniques of prognosis in Cold War America /
书目信息 机读格式(MARC)
| ISBN： | 9783030327804 |
|---|---|
| ISBN： | 9783030327811 |
| ISBN： | 3030327817 |
| 编目源： | EBLCP EBLCP GW5XE OCLCF N$T OCLCQ Uk |
| 地理区域代码： | n-us--- |
| 个人名称： | Dayé, Christian, |
| 题名： | Experts, social scientists, and techniques of prognosis in Cold War America / Christian Dayé. |
| 索书号： | D771.209/D275E |
| 出版发行项： | Cham : Palgrave Macmillan, 2020. |
| 载体形态： | xvi, 246 pages : illustrations ; 24 cm. |
| 书目附注： | Includes bibliographical references and index. |
| 格式化内容附注： | 1. Introduction: A Culture of Insecurity and its Experts. 2. Experts, Think Tanks, and the Delicate Balance of Public Trust. 3. The Wisdom of the Group: RAND's First Experiments with Expert Prediction, 1947-1951. 4. Negotiating Rules for the Game: Political Games at RAND, 1954-1956.5. The Oracle's Epistemology: Expert Opinions as Scientific Material. 6.The Boredom of the Crowd: The Long-Range Forecasting Delphi, 1963-1964.7. Conclusion: The Strength of Epistemic Hopes. |